{"id":2002,"date":"2025-09-23T12:37:53","date_gmt":"2025-09-23T15:37:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/?p=2002"},"modified":"2025-09-23T12:37:55","modified_gmt":"2025-09-23T15:37:55","slug":"es-posible-el-plan-economico-de-milei-en-la-argentina-de-hoy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/?p=2002","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfEs posible el plan econ\u00f3mico de Milei en la Argentina de hoy?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Con inflaci\u00f3n en baja, super\u00e1vit fiscal y apoyo multilateral, el programa libertario avanza. Sin embargo, la fragilidad de las reservas y el ruido pol\u00edtico ponen a prueba su viabilidad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"89\" height=\"21\" src=\"http:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1969\" style=\"width:110px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Inflaci\u00f3n en retroceso<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El dato m\u00e1s visible es la <strong>desaceleraci\u00f3n de precios<\/strong>: 1,9% en agosto, 19,5% acumulado en lo que va del a\u00f1o y 33,6% interanual. Se trata de una reducci\u00f3n fuerte respecto de los picos de 2023, se\u00f1al de que el ancla fiscal y la pol\u00edtica monetaria contractiva est\u00e1n teniendo efecto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cuentas p\u00fablicas en orden<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El Gobierno exhibe super\u00e1vit <strong>primario<\/strong> equivalente a 1,3% del PBI y super\u00e1vit <strong>financiero<\/strong> de 0,4% en los primeros ocho meses de 2025. Son resultados in\u00e9ditos en dos d\u00e9cadas, que consolidan la narrativa oficial de disciplina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Reservas y el d\u00f3lar, puntos d\u00e9biles<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El Banco Central mantiene reservas en torno a los <strong>US$ 39.800 millones<\/strong>, aunque tuvo que vender divisas para sostener la calma cambiaria. El d\u00f3lar oficial ronda los 1.475 pesos, mientras el paralelo cotiz\u00f3 en torno a 1.520, con una brecha chica pero vol\u00e1til. La tensi\u00f3n cambiaria sigue siendo la principal amenaza de corto plazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">El papel del FMI y Estados Unidos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>En julio, la Argentina super\u00f3 la primera revisi\u00f3n del acuerdo con el <strong>FMI<\/strong>, lo que habilit\u00f3 un desembolso de US$ 2.000 millones. Adem\u00e1s, el respaldo pol\u00edtico de Washington, con la promesa de que \u201ctodas las opciones est\u00e1n sobre la mesa\u201d, mejora las expectativas de un refuerzo de reservas v\u00eda swap o financiamiento directo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">El factor pol\u00edtico<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u00e1s all\u00e1 de las variables duras, la sostenibilidad del plan depende de la <strong>gesti\u00f3n pol\u00edtica<\/strong>: acuerdos con el Congreso, con los gobernadores y con los sectores sociales. El costo del ajuste puede volverse un l\u00edmite si no se combina con amortiguadores que contengan la conflictividad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El programa econ\u00f3mico de Javier Milei es <strong>posible<\/strong> en la Argentina actual porque combina disciplina fiscal, desinflaci\u00f3n y respaldo externo. Pero es tambi\u00e9n <strong>fr\u00e1gil<\/strong>: si se erosiona la confianza o se vac\u00edan las reservas, el esquema podr\u00eda entrar en crisis. La pol\u00edtica y la credibilidad ser\u00e1n tan decisivas como las cuentas fiscales.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Con inflaci\u00f3n en baja, super\u00e1vit fiscal y apoyo multilateral, el programa libertario avanza. Sin embargo, la fragilidad de las reservas<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2003,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[6,17,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destacadas","category-economia","category-principales"],"magazineBlocksPostFeaturedMedia":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250-150x150.jpg","medium":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250-300x167.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250.jpg","large":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250.jpg","1536x1536":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250.jpg","2048x2048":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250.jpg","colormag-highlighted-post":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250-392x250.jpg","colormag-featured-post-medium":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250-390x205.jpg","colormag-featured-post-small":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250-130x90.jpg","colormag-featured-image":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250.jpg","colormag-default-news":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250-150x150.jpg","colormag-featured-image-large":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250.jpg"},"magazineBlocksPostAuthor":{"name":"c2361096","avatar":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c9b69b8d46048ffabc7126f156fc23808d4ba33db83f5770727932885f259164?s=96&d=mm&r=g"},"magazineBlocksPostCommentsNumber":"0","magazineBlocksPostExcerpt":"Con inflaci\u00f3n en baja, super\u00e1vit fiscal y apoyo multilateral, el programa libertario avanza. Sin embargo, la fragilidad de las reservas","magazineBlocksPostCategories":["Destacadas","Econom\u00eda","Principales"],"magazineBlocksPostViewCount":67,"magazineBlocksPostReadTime":2,"magazine_blocks_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250.jpg",450,250,false],"medium":["https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250-300x167.jpg",300,167,true],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/milei_450x250-150x150.jpg",150,150,true]},"magazine_blocks_author":{"display_name":"c2361096","author_link":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/?author=1"},"magazine_blocks_comment":0,"magazine_blocks_author_image":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c9b69b8d46048ffabc7126f156fc23808d4ba33db83f5770727932885f259164?s=96&d=mm&r=g","magazine_blocks_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/?cat=6\" rel=\"category\">Destacadas<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/?cat=17\" rel=\"category\">Econom\u00eda<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/?cat=8\" rel=\"category\">Principales<\/a>","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2002","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2002"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2002\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2004,"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2002\/revisions\/2004"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2003"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2002"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2002"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/multimediosantafe.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2002"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}